Karolong ea pele ea 2022, 'maraka oa lapeng oa ethylene glycol o tla fetoha papaling ea theko e phahameng le tlhokahalo e tlase. Boemong ba khohlano pakeng tsa Russia le Ukraine, theko ea oli e tala e ile ea tsoela pele ho phahama halofo ea pele ea selemo, e lebisang ho theko e phahameng ea thepa e tala le lekhalo le ntseng le eketseha la theko pakeng tsa naphtha le ethylene glycol.
Leha ka tlas'a khatello ea litšenyehelo, lifeme tse ngata tsa ethylene glycol li fokolitse moroalo oa tsona, ho ata ho tsoelang pele ha seoa sa COVID-19 ho lebisitse ho phokotso e kholo ea tlhokahalo, bofokoli bo tsoelang pele ba tlhokeho ea ethylene glycol, ho tsoela pele ho bokella thepa ea boema-kepe, le tlhahiso e ncha. selemo holimo. Theko ea ethylene glycol e ne e feto-fetoha papaling pakeng tsa khatello ea litšenyehelo le phepelo e fokolang le tlhoko, 'me ha e le hantle e ile ea fetoha lipakeng tsa 4500-5800 yuan/ton halofong ea pele ea selemo. Ka mathata a ho putlama ha moruo a ntseng a tsoela pele, ho theoha ha theko ea bokamoso ba oli ho theohile, 'me tšehetso ea lehlakore la litšenyehelo e fokotsehile. Leha ho le joalo, tlhoko ea polyester e tlase e ile ea tsoela pele ho fokola. Ka khatello ea lichelete, 'maraka oa ethylene glycol o ile oa eketsa ho theoha ha oona karolong ea bobeli ea selemo,' me theko e ile ea otla khafetsa ka selemo se secha. Mathoasong a Pulungoana 2022, theko e tlase e theohetse ho 3740 yuan/ton.
Ho qala ho tsitsitseng ha tlhahiso e ncha le phepelo e ntseng e eketseha ea lehae
Ho tloha ka 2020, indasteri ea China ea ethylene glycol e kene potolohong e ncha ea katoloso ea tlhahiso. Lisebelisoa tse kopantsoeng ke matla a ka sehloohong bakeng sa kholo ea matla a tlhahiso ea ethylene glycol. Leha ho le joalo, ka 2022, tlhahiso ea likarolo tse kopantsoeng e tla chechisoa hangata, 'me ke Zhenhai Petrochemical Phase II le Zhejiang Petrochemical Unit 3 feela e tla kenngoa ts'ebetsong. Keketseho ea matla a tlhahiso ka 2022 e tla tsoa haholo ho limela tsa mashala.
Qetellong ea Pulungoana 2022, tlhahiso ea China ea ethylene glycol e fihlile ho lithane tse limilione tse 24.585, keketseho ea selemo le selemo ea 27%, ho kenyelletsa le lithane tse ka bang limilione tse 3.7 tsa matla a macha a tlhahiso ea mashala.
Ho ea ka lintlha tsa tlhokomelo ea 'maraka tsa Lekala la Khoebo, ho tloha ka January ho ea ho November 2022, theko ea letsatsi le letsatsi ea mashala a motlakase ho pholletsa le naha e tla lula e le ka har'a 891-1016 yuan/ton. Theko ea mashala e ile ea fetoha haholo halofo ea pele ea selemo, 'me mokhoa ona o ne o bataletse halofo ea bobeli.
Likotsi tsa Geopolitical, COVID-19 le leano la lichelete tsa Federal Reserve li ne li laola tšusumetso e matla ea oli e tala ea machaba ka 2022. A angoa ke mokhoa o batlang o le bobebe oa litheko tsa mashala, melemo ea moruo ea glycol ea mashala e lokela ho ntlafatsoa, ​​​​empa boemo ba nnete. ha a na tšepo. Ka lebaka la tlhokahalo e fokolang le phello ea tlhahiso e bohareng ea marang-rang ea matla a macha selemong sena, sekhahla sa ts'ebetso ea limela tsa mashala tsa glycol tsa malapeng li theohile hoo e ka bang 30% karolong ea boraro, 'me mojaro oa selemo le selemo oa ts'ebetso le phaello li ne li le tlaase haholo ho feta litebello tsa' maraka.
Kakaretso ea tlhahiso ea matla a mang a tlhahiso ea mashala a hlahisitsoeng karolong ea bobeli ea 2022 e lekanyelitsoe. Tlas'a motheo oa ts'ebetso e tsitsitseng, khatello e lehlakoreng la phepelo ea mashala e ka 'na ea teba le ho feta ka 2023.
Ntle le moo, li-unit tse ngata tse ncha tsa ethylene glycol li reretsoe ho qala ts'ebetso ka 2023, mme ho hakanngoa hore sekhahla sa kholo ea tlhahiso ea ethylene glycol Chaena e tla lula e le 20% ka 2023.

Litsi tsa lichelete tsa machaba li bolela esale pele hore theko ea machaba ea oli e tala e tla lula e le boemong bo phahameng ka 2023, khatello ea litšenyehelo tse phahameng e ntse e tla ba teng, 'me mojaro oa ho qala oa ethylene glycol o ka ba thata ho eketseha, o tla fokotsa kholo ea phepelo ea malapeng. ho isa boholeng bo itseng.
Ho boima ho eketsa bophahamo ba modumo wa ho reka kantle ho naha, le ho itshetleha ka ho reka kantle ho naha kapa ho theoha ho feta moo
Ho tloha ka Pherekhong ho isa ho Pulungoana 2022, bophahamo ba theko ea China ea ethylene glycol e tla ba lithane tse limilione tse 6.96, ka 10% e tlase ho feta nako e tšoanang selemong se fetileng.
Sheba ka hloko lintlha tsa ho reka. Ntle le Saudi Arabia, Canada le United States, palo ea thepa e tsoang kantle ho naha e theohile. Bophahamo ba kantle ho naha ea Taiwan,

Singapore le libaka tse ling li theohile haholo.

Ka lehlakoreng le leng, ho theoha ha thepa e tsoang linaheng tse ling ho bakoa ke khatello ea litšenyehelo, 'me boholo ba lisebelisoa li ile tsa qala ho theoha. Ka lehlakoreng le leng, ka lebaka la ho theoha ho tsoelang pele ha litheko tsa Machaena, cheseho ea bafani ba ho romela thepa Chaena e theohile haholo. Ntlha ea boraro, ka lebaka la bofokoli ba 'maraka oa polyester oa Chaena, ho qala ha lisebelisoa ho ile ha theoha,' me tlhokahalo ea thepa e tala e ile ea fokola.
Ka 2022, ts'epo ea China ho tsoa kantle ho naha ea ethylene glycol e tla theohela ho 39.6%, mme e lebelletsoe ho theoha le ho feta ka 2023.
Ho tlalehoa hore OPEC + e kanna ea tsoela pele ho fokotsa tlhahiso hamorao, mme phepelo ea lisebelisoa tse tala Middle East e ntse e tla ba e sa lekana. Tlas'a khatello ea litšenyehelo, ho hahoa ha limela tsa ethylene glycol tsa linaheng tse ling, haholo-holo Asia, ho thata ho ntlafatsa haholo. Ho feta moo, barekisi ba ntse ba tla etelletsa libaka tse ling pele. Ho boleloa hore barekisi ba bang ba tla fokotsa likonteraka tsa bona le bareki ba China nakong ea lipuisano tsa konteraka ka 2023.
Mabapi le matla a macha a tlhahiso, India le Iran li rera ho qala 'maraka qetellong ea 2022 le qalong ea 2023. Bokhoni ba tlhahiso ea India bo ntse bo fanoa haholo-holo sebakeng sa heno, 'me ho khetheha ha thepa ea Iran ea thepa e tsoang Chaena e ka ba e fokolang.
Tlhokahalo e fokolang Europe le United States e thibela menyetla ea ho romela thepa kantle ho naha
Ho latela lintlha tse tsoang ho ICIS, ho tloha ka Pherekhong ho isa Pulungoana 2022, palo ea kantle ho naha ea ethylene glycol e tla ba lithane tse 38500, e theohile ka 69% ha e bapisoa le nako e tšoanang selemong se fetileng.
Ha re shebisisa lintlha tsa kantle ho naha, ka 2022, China e ile ea eketsa thepa ea eona ho ea Bangladesh, mme ka 2021, thepa e romelloang kantle ho naha ea Europe le Türkiye, libaka tse ka sehloohong tsa kantle ho naha, e tla fokotseha haholo. Ka lehlakoreng le leng, ka lebaka la bofokoli bo akaretsang ba tlhokahalo ea mose ho maoatle, ka lehlakoreng le leng, ka lebaka la matla a thata a lipalangoang, thepa e phahame.

Ka katoloso e tsoelang pele ea lisebelisoa tsa China, ho bohlokoa ho tsoa ho seha. Ka ho nolofalloa ha tšubuhlellano le keketseho ea matla a lipalangoang, sekhahla sa thepa se ka tsoela pele ho theoha ka 2023, se tla tsoela mmaraka oa kantle ho naha molemo.
Leha ho le joalo, ha moruo oa lefats'e o kena ho putlama ha moruo, tlhoko ea Europe le United States e kanna ea ba thata ho ntlafala haholo mme e tsoela pele ho thibela thepa ea China ea ethylene glycol. Barekisi ba Machaena ba hloka ho batla menyetla ea ho romella kantle ho naha libakeng tse ling tse ntseng li hlaha.
Sekhahla sa kholo ea tlhokahalo se tlase ho feta phepelo
Ka 2022, matla a macha a polyester e tla ba lithane tse limilione tse 4.55, ka kholo ea selemo le selemo ea hoo e ka bang 7%, e ntseng e laoloa ke katoloso ea likhoebo tse etellang pele tsa polyester. Ho tlalehoa hore lisebelisoa tse ngata tseo qalong li neng li reriloe ho kenngoa tlhahiso selemong sena li liehile.
Boemo ka kakaretso ba mmaraka oa polyester ka 2022 ha bo khotsofatse. Ho qhoma ho sa khaotseng ha seoa sena ho na le phello e kholo tlhokahalong ea ho qetela. Tlhokahalo e fokolang ea lehae le ho ea kantle ho naha e entse hore semela sa polyester se imetsoe. Ho qala ha morero ho tlase haholo ho feta nako e tšoanang selemong se fetileng.

Boemong ba hona joale ba moruo, barupeluoa ba 'maraka ha ba na tšepo ea ho tsosolosoa ha tlhokahalo. Hore na matla a macha a polyester a ka kenngoa ts'ebetsong ka nako ke phetoho e kholo, haholo bakeng sa lisebelisoa tse ling tse nyane. Ka 2023, matla a macha a polyester a ka lula a le lithane tse limilione tse 4-5 ka selemo, 'me sekhahla sa kholo ea matla se ka lula se le ho 7%.

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